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Investigating the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Process and its Related Occurrences during the Treatment Course
Seyed Mohammad Reza Nejatollahi1, Mehdi Kazempour Dizaji2,3, Ali Zare3
1Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary and Transplant Surgery,Masih Daneshvari Hospital, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Insights
This study investigated the outcomes for 4372 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) patients. It determined hospitalization, home quarantine, recovery, and death likelihoods based on disease severity, aiding COVID-19 prognosis and treatment.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Understanding disease progression is crucial for all illnesses, including coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
- Investigating the patient journey during illness and treatment provides vital insights.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the COVID-19 disease process and associated outcomes.
- To estimate the likelihood of various occurrences during the COVID-19 treatment course.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 4372 COVID-19 patients at Dr. Masih Daneshvari Hospital.
- Categorization of patients based on hospitalization (general ward, ICU), home quarantine, and disease severity.
Main Results:
- Hospitalization likelihood: General Ward (49.54%), ICU (14.73%), Home Quarantine (35.73%).
- Recovery likelihood: General Ward (64.79%), ICU (10.82%), Home Quarantine (96.31%).
- Mortality likelihood: General Ward (35.21%), ICU (89.18%), Home Quarantine (3.69%).
Conclusions:
- Estimating COVID-19 outcomes improves patient prognosis.
- Understanding disease progression facilitates the development of effective treatment strategies.
Background:
The disease process involves the occurrences happening during the disease and treatment course for the patient. Investigating this process is a significant and necessary issue for all diseases, including coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
Materials And Methods:
Using the information of 4372 patients with COVID-19 referring to Dr. Masih Daneshvari Hospital in Tehran during the COVID-19 epidemic, being hospitalized, cared for, and home quarantined due to having mild symptoms, the COVID-19 process and its related occurrences were investigated during the treatment course.
Results:
In the COVID-19 course, considering the disease severity, the likelihood of hospitalization in the general ward or the intensive care unit (ICU) ward, the likelihood of isolation or home quarantine, and the likelihood of occurrences such as recovery or death at the end of the disease course were taken into consideration. Based on the results of this study, the likelihood of hospitalization in the general ward, the ICU ward, and isolation or home quarantine was determined to be approximately 49.54%, 14.73%, and 35.73%, respectively. Also, for patients hospitalized in the general ward, the ICU ward, and isolated or home quarantined, the likelihood of recovery was estimated at approximately 64.79%, 10.82%, and 96.31%, respectively, and the likelihood of death was also estimated at about 35.21%, 89.18%, and 3.69% respectively.
Conclusion:
Investigating the COVID-19 process and estimating the likelihood of incidence of its related occurrences during the treatment course both create an accurate prognosis and provide the possibility of achieving an efficient treatment for these patients.
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