A method to assess linear self-predictability of physiologic processes in the frequency domain: application to...

The concept of self-predictability plays a key role for the analysis of the self-driven dynamics of physiological processes displaying richness of oscillatory rhythms. While time domain measures of self-predictability, as well as time-varying and local extensions, have already been proposed and largely applied in different contexts, they still lack a clear spectral description, which would be significantly useful for the interpretation of the frequency-specific content of the investigated processes. Herein, we propose a novel approach to characterize the linear self-predictability (LSP) of Gaussian processes in the frequency domain. The LSP spectral functions are related to the peaks of the power spectral density (PSD) of the investigated process, which is represented as the sum of different oscillatory components with specific frequency through the method of spectral decomposition. Remarkably, each of the LSP profiles is linked to a specific oscillation of the process, and it returns frequency-specific measures when integrated along spectral bands of physiological interest, as well as a time domain self-predictability measure with a clear meaning in the field of information theory, corresponding to the well-known information storage, when integrated along the whole frequency axis. The proposed measure is first illustrated in a theoretical simulation, showing that it clearly reflects the degree and frequency-specific location of predictability patterns of the analyzed process in both time and frequency domains. Then, it is applied to beat-to-beat time series of arterial compliance obtained in young healthy subjects. The results evidence that the spectral decomposition strategy applied to both the PSD and the spectral LSP of compliance identifies physiological responses to postural stress of low and high frequency oscillations of the process which cannot be traced in the time domain only, highlighting the importance of computing frequency-specific measures of self-predictability in any oscillatory physiologic process.