Respiratory disease patterns in rural Western Uganda, 2019-2022

Respiratory disease is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in the developing world, but prospective studies of temporal patterns and risk factors are rare.

We studied people in rural Western Uganda, where respiratory disease is pervasive. We followed 30 adults (ages 22-51 years; 534 observations) and 234 children (ages 3-11 years; 1,513 observations) between May 2019 and July 2022 and collected monthly data on their respiratory symptoms, for a total of 2,047 case records. We examined associations between demographic and temporal factors and respiratory symptoms severity.

The timing of our study (before, during, and after the emergence of COVID-19) allowed us to document the effects of public health measures instituted in the region. Incidence rates of respiratory symptoms before COVID-19 lockdown were 568.4 cases per 1,000 person-months in children and 254.2 cases per 1,000 person-months in adults. These rates were 2.6 times higher than the 2019 global average for children but comparable for adults. Younger children (ages 3-6 years) had the highest frequencies and severities of respiratory symptoms. Study participants were most likely to experience symptoms in February, which is a seasonal pattern not previously documented. Incidence and severity of symptoms in children decreased markedly during COVID-19 lockdown, illustrating the broad effects of public health measures on the incidence of respiratory disease.

Our results demonstrate that patterns of respiratory disease in settings such as Western Uganda resemble patterns in developed economies in some ways (age-related factors) but not in others (increased incidence in children and seasonal pattern). Factors such as indoor air quality, health care access, timing of school trimesters, and seasonal effects (rainy/dry seasons) likely contribute to the differences observed.