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Trends in Mortality in People With HIV From 1999 through 2020: A Multicohort Collaboration
Erich Tusch1, Lene Ryom1,2,3, Annegret Pelchen-Matthews4
1Centre of Excellence for Health, Immunity and Infections (CHIP), Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Mortality in people with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) decreased significantly from 1999 to 2009, then stabilized. This trend was observed in the D:A:D and RESPOND cohorts, with non-AIDS-defining malignancies becoming a more prominent cause of death.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health
Background:
- Combination antiretroviral therapy has led to reduced mortality among individuals with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV).
- Understanding long-term mortality trends is crucial for managing HIV as a chronic condition.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate trends in all-cause and cause-specific mortality among people with HIV from 1999 to 2020.
- To analyze changes in mortality patterns over two decades.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the D:A:D (1999-2015) and RESPOND (2017-2020) cohorts.
- Calculated age-standardized mortality rates and used Poisson models to assess temporal trends.
- Classified causes of death using the Coding Causes of Death in HIV system.
Main Results:
- Observed a decline in all-cause mortality (adjusted mortality rate ratio [aMRR], 0.97 per year) between 1999 and 2020.
- AIDS-related mortality was highest from 1999-2009, while non-AIDS-defining malignancy (NADM) mortality increased from 2010-2020.
- Mortality rates stabilized between 2011-2020 (aMRR, 1.00 per year).
Conclusions:
- Mortality among people with HIV declined between 1999-2009 and stabilized from 2010-2020.
- The observed decline in mortality was not solely attributable to improved immunologic-virologic status or other known risk factors.
- Non-AIDS-defining malignancies represent an increasing cause of mortality in the contemporary HIV-positive population.
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