Predicting oxygen needs in COVID-19 patients using chest radiography multi-region radiomics

The objective is to evaluate the performance of blood test results, radiomics, and a combination of the two data types on the prediction of the 24-h oxygenation support need for the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. In this retrospective cohort study, COVID-19 patients with confirmed real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction assay (RT-PCR) test results between February 2020 and August 2021 were investigated. Initial blood cell counts, chest radiograph, and the status of oxygenation support used within 24 h were collected (n = 290; mean age, 45 ± 19 years; 125 men). Radiomics features from six lung zones were extracted. Logistic regression and random forest models were developed using the clinical-only, radiomics-only, and combined data. Ten repeats of fivefold cross-validation with bootstrapping were used to identify the input features and models with the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Higher AUCs were achieved when using only radiomics features compared to using only clinical features (0.94 ± 0.03 vs. 0.88 ± 0.04). The best combined model using both radiomics and clinical features achieved highest in the cross-validation (0.95 ± 0.02) and test sets (0.96 ± 0.02). In comparison, the best clinical-only model yielded AUCs of 0.88 ± 0.04 in cross-validation and 0.89 ± 0.03 in test set. Both radiomics and clinical data can be used to predict 24-h oxygenation support need for COVID-19 patients with AUC > 0.88. Moreover, the combination of both data types further improved the performance.