Predicting preoperative muscle invasion status for bladder cancer using computed tomography-based radiomics nomogram

The aim of the study is to assess the efficacy of the established computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics nomogram combined with radiomics and clinical features for predicting muscle invasion status in bladder cancer (BCa).

A retrospective analysis was conducted using data from patients who underwent CT urography at our institution between May 2018 and April 2023 with urothelial carcinoma of the bladder confirmed by postoperative histology. There were 196 patients enrolled in all, and each was randomized at random to either the training cohort (n = 137) or the test cohort (n = 59). Eight hundred fifty-one radiomics features in all were retrieved. For feature selection, the significance test and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) approaches were utilized. Subsequently, the radiomics score (Radscore) was obtained by applying linear weighting based on the selected features. The clinical and radiomics model, as well as radiomics-clinical nomogram were all established using logistic regression. Three models were evaluated using analysis of the receiver operating characteristic curve. An area under the curve (AUC) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) as well as specificity, sensitivity, accuracy, negative predictive value, and positive predictive value were included in the analysis. Radiomics-clinical nomogram's performance was assessed based on discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility.

After obtaining 851 radiomics features, 12 features were ultimately selected. Histopathological grading and tortuous blood vessels were included in the clinical model. The Radscore and clinical histopathology grading were among the final predictors in the unique nomogram. The three models had an AUC of 0.811 (95% CI, 0.742-0.880), 0.845 (95% CI, 0.781-0.908), and 0.896 (95% CI, 0.846-0.947) in the training cohort and in the test cohort they were 0.808 (95% CI, 0.703-0.913), 0.847 (95% CI, 0.739-0.954), and 0.887 (95% CI, 0.803-0.971). According to the DeLong test, the radiomics-clinical nomogram's AUC in the training cohort substantially differed from that of the clinical model (AUC: 0.896 versus 0.845, p = 0.015) and the radiomics model (AUC: 0.896 versus 0.811, p = 0.002). The Delong test in the test cohort revealed no significant difference among the three models.

CT-based radiomics-clinical nomogram can be a useful tool for quantitatively predicting the status of muscle invasion in BCa.