Causal analysis of body composition measurements in osteoarthritis knee: a two-sample mendelian randomization study

To analyse the causal associations of different physical measures with osteoarthritis knee (KOA).

Exposure factors (weight, body mass index (BMI), body fat percentage, waist circumference, hip circumference, waist-hip ratio (WHR), and basal metabolic rate (BMR)), and outcome factor KOA were analyzed by inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method, along with heterogeneity test, sensitivity and pleiotropy analyses. Meta-analysis was used to combine the effect values of IVW methods in different data sources.

Weight, BMI, body fat percentage, waist circumference, hip circumference and BMR analyses showed causal association with increased KOA risk, while WHR analysis indicated a reduction of the incidence of KOA. P-value for all the results was less than 0.05 and F-value large than 20. All results were negative for heterogeneity tests and sensitivity analyses, and there was pleiotropy in weight and BMR. Meta-analysis results showed that the results of Odds Ratios (95% Confidence Intervals) for Weight (1.43(1.35-1.51)), BMI (1.40(1.10-1.78)), body fat percentage (1.56(1.44-1.68)), waist circumference (1.40(1.10-1.78)), hip circumference (1.37(1.30-1.44)), WHR (0.86(0.71-1.04)) and BMR (1.36(1.27-1.46) were consistent with the ones by Mendelian randomization analyses.

Body fat percentage may be a better indicator of KOA than BMI. In addition, weight and BMR may have a causal effect in KOA, but WHR does not have a causal relationship. BMI, body fat percentage, waist circumference, and hip circumference has a causal effect on KOA.