Distance-based novelty detection model for identifying individuals at risk of developing Alzheimer's disease

Novelty detection (ND, also known as one-class classification) is a machine learning technique used to identify patterns that are typical of the majority class and can discriminate deviations as novelties. In the context of Alzheimer's disease (AD), ND could be employed to detect abnormal or atypical behavior that may indicate early signs of cognitive decline or the presence of the disease. To date, few research studies have used ND to discriminate the risk of developing AD and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) from healthy controls (HC).

In this work, two distinct cohorts with highly heterogeneous data, derived from the Australian Imaging Biomarkers and Lifestyle (AIBL) Flagship Study of Ageing project and the Fujian Medical University Union Hospital (FMUUH) China, were employed. An innovative framework with built-in easily interpretable ND models constructed solely on HC data was introduced along with proposing a strategy of distance to boundary (DtB) to detect MCI and AD. Subsequently, a web-based graphical user interface (GUI) that incorporates the proposed framework was developed for non-technical stakeholders.

Our experimental results indicate that the best overall performance of detecting AD individuals in AIBL and FMUUH datasets was obtained by using the Mixture of Gaussian-based ND algorithm applied to single modality, with an AUC of 0.8757 and 0.9443, a sensitivity of 96.79% and 89.09%, and a specificity of 89.63% and 90.92%, respectively.

The GUI offers an interactive platform to aid stakeholders in making diagnoses of MCI and AD, enabling streamlined decision-making processes. More importantly, the proposed DtB strategy could visually and quantitatively identify individuals at risk of developing AD.