Multivariate analysis and mathematical modeling of the informativeness of patients cases data in chronic pancreatitis...

Aim: To investigate and analyze homeostatic disorders in patients with a combination of Chronic Pancreatitis(CP) and Arterial Hypertension (AH) and to develop correcting ways of the detected changes.

Materials and Methods: General clinical, laboratory-instrumental examination of 121 patients, who were undergoing inpatient treatment with a diagnosis of Chronic Pancreatitis in combination with Arterial Hypertension of the II stage during 2021-2022.

Results: In the majority of cases of patients signs the increasing in IL-1,6 and Cortisol levels were found. A decrease in Ca to the lower limit of the norm was observed (2.18 ± 0.26 mmol/l to the data of control group patients (2.32 ± 0.12 mmol/l, p= 0.01 ), the levels of trace elements Zn and Se were determined within the reference values. The Atherogenic Index was increased 1.8 times and was significantly different from the control group date. During the FE-1 study, a decrease in the level of this indicator was revealed by 151.71±13.91 mg/g of feces, both to the values of reference values and a significant difference to the data of the control group (241.28±29.17 mg/g of feces, p<0 .05).

Conclusions: Based on the multivariate linear regression analysis of the obtained data, formulas have been developed that can be used to predict the dynamics of the dependent variable (FE-1, IL-1, Selenium level, Glutathione Peroxidase, blood pressure) according to changes in the studied influencing factors.