Severity of sleep apnea as a prognostic factor for mortality in patients with multiple system atrophy

We determined whether the severity of sleep apnea increases the risk of mortality in patients with multiple system atrophy (MSA) with and without stridor. MethodsThis retrospective study included patients who underwent polysomnography within one year after diagnosis of probable MSA. Stridor, sleep apnea, and arousal from sleep were determined using full-night polysomnography. Disease severity was measured using the Unified MSA Rating Scale (UMSARS). Survival data were collected and analyzed using Cox regression analysis.

Sixty-four patients with MSA were included. During a median follow-up of 34.5 months, 49 (76.6 %) patients died. Stridor was present in 56.3 % of patients. Patients with stridor had more severe sleep apnea and shorter sleep time than those without, but the hazard ratio (HR) for death did not differ between patients with and without stridor. Among patients without stridor, apnea-hypopnea index ≥30/h (HR, 6.850; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 1.983-23.664; p = 0.002) and a score of UMSARS I + II (HR, 1.080; 95 % CI, 1.040-1.121; p < 0.001) were independently associated with death. In contrast, among patients with stridor, frequent arousals from sleep (HR, 0.254; 95 % CI, 0.089-0.729; p = 0.011) were a significant factor associated with longer survival, while MSA-cerebellar type tended to be associated with poor survival (HR, 2.195; 95 % CI, 0.941-5.120; p = 0.069).

The severity of sleep apnea might be a significant predictor of shorter survival in MSA patients without stridor, whereas frequent arousals from sleep might be a significant predictor for longer survival in MSA patients with stridor.