Frailty Predicts Dementia and Death in Older Adults Living in Long-Term Care

To investigate how the accumulation of deficits traditionally related and not traditionally related to dementia predicts dementia and mortality.

A retrospective cohort study with up to 9 years of follow-up.

Long-term care residents aged ≥65 with or without dementia.

Frailty indices based on health deficit accumulation were constructed. The FI-t consisted of 27 deficits traditionally related to dementia; the FI-n consisted of 27 deficits not traditionally related to dementia; the FI-a consisted of all 54 deficits taken from the FI-t and the FI-n.

In this long-term care sample (n = 29,758; mean age = 84.6 ± 8.0; 63.8% female), 91% of the residents had at least 1 impairment in activities of daily living, 61% had a diagnosis of dementia, and the vast majority were frail (53% had FI-a > 0.2). Residents with dementia had a higher FI-t compared with those without dementia (0.278 ± 0.110 vs. 0.272 ± 0.108), whereas residents without dementia had a higher FI-n (0.143 ± 0.082 vs. 0.136 ± 0.079). Within 9 years, 97% of the sample had died; a 0.01 increase of the FI-a was associated with a 4% increase of the mortality risk, adjusting for age, sex, admission year, stay length, and dementia type. Residents who developed dementia after admission to long-term care had higher baseline FI-t and FI-a (P's < .003) than those who remained without dementia.

Frailty is highly prevalent in older adults living in long-term care, irrespective of the presence or absence of dementia. Accumulation of deficits, either traditionally related or unrelated to dementia, is associated with risks of death and dementia, and more deficits increases the probability. Our findings have implications for improving the quality of care of older adults in long-term care, by monitoring the degree of frailty at admission, managing distinct needs in relation to dementia, and enhancing frailty level-informed care and services.