Establishment and Verification of an Artificial Intelligence Prediction Model for Children With Sepsis

Li Wang1, Yu-Hui Wu2, Yong Ren3,4,5

  • 1From the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China.

Insights

Artificial intelligence (AI) effectively predicts mortality risk in pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) sepsis patients. An artificial neural network model demonstrated superior accuracy compared to other machine learning approaches for identifying high-risk children.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric critical care medicine
  • Computational biology
  • Medical artificial intelligence

Background:

  • Sepsis mortality in children necessitates early identification of high-risk individuals.
  • Artificial intelligence (AI) offers potential for rapid and accurate sepsis risk prediction in pediatric intensive care units (PICUs).

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the efficacy of AI models in predicting mortality risk among children with sepsis in the PICU.
  • To compare the performance of various machine learning (ML) models for sepsis mortality prediction.

Main Methods:

  • A retrospective observational study involving 671 pediatric sepsis patients from two hospitals (December 2016 - July 2020).
  • Development and comparison of multiple ML models, including artificial neural networks, support vector machines, logical regression, Bayesian, K nearest neighbor, and decision trees.
  • Models were trained and tested to predict the risk of death in sepsis patients.

Main Results:

  • The artificial neural network (ANN) model achieved the highest accuracy, with 0.99 on the training set and 0.96 on the test set.
  • The ANN model outperformed other evaluated ML models (support vector machine, logical regression, Bayesian, K nearest neighbor, decision tree) in predicting sepsis-related mortality.
  • Study included 671 children diagnosed with sepsis.

Conclusions:

  • AI models, particularly artificial neural networks, are effective tools for predicting sepsis-related mortality risk in PICU settings.
  • The superior performance of the ANN model suggests its potential for clinical application in early risk stratification of pediatric sepsis patients.
Abstract