Comparing the advantages and disadvantages of physics-based and neural network-based modelling for predicting cycling...

Models of physical phenomena can be developed using two distinct approaches: using expert knowledge of the underlying physical principles or using experimental data to train a neural network. Here, our aim was to better understand the advantages and disadvantages of these two approaches. We chose to model cycling power because the physical principles are already well understood. Nine participants followed changes in cycling cadence transmitted through a metronome via earphones and we measured their cadence and power. We then developed and trained a physics-based model and a simple neural network model, where both models had cadence, derivative of cadence, and gear ratio as input, and power as output. We found no significant differences in the prediction performance between the models. Both models had good prediction accuracy despite using less input variables than traditional models and using more challenging prediction conditions by enforcing rapid speed changes during cycling. The advantages of the neural network model were that, for similar performance, it did not require an understanding of the underlying principles of cycling nor did it require measurements of fixed parameters such as system weight or wheel size. These same features also give the physics-based model the advantage of interpretability, which can be important when scientists want to better understand the process being modelled.