Risk Analysis of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Among Infants in the United States by Birth Month

Jason R Gantenberg1,2, Robertus van Aalst1,3,4, Monika Reddy Bhuma1

  • 1Department of Health Services, Policy and Practice, Brown University School of Public Health, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.

Insights

Infants born in late spring/summer face higher risks for medically attended RSV lower respiratory tract infections. Nirsevimab can help protect infants, especially those born near the end of the RSV season.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatrics
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) significantly impacts infant morbidity and mortality in the US.
  • Infant's birth month influences their age and timing of first RSV exposure.
  • Understanding birth month-specific risks is crucial for targeted prevention strategies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To estimate the risk of medically attended (MA) RSV lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) based on infant birth month.
  • To analyze risks during the first RSV season and the first year of life (FYOL).

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of three US insurance claims databases (commercial and Medicaid) for infants born July 2016-February 2020.
  • Classification of MA RSV LRTI episodes by care level (outpatient, ED, inpatient) using diagnostic coding algorithms.
  • Primary analysis focused on the first RSV season; secondary analysis compared first season to FYOL risks.

Main Results:

  • Infants born May-September showed the highest risk for first-season MA RSV LRTI (6-26% depending on diagnostic definition).
  • Infants born October-December had the highest risk for RSV-related hospitalization in their first season.
  • Overall MA RSV LRTI risk across the FYOL was comparable across birth months (6-30%), with many cases managed outpatient or in EDs.

Conclusions:

  • Findings support nirsevimab recommendations for US infants.
  • Administering nirsevimab before the second RSV season may reduce outpatient and ED visits for infants not treated earlier.
Abstract

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