Comparing the performance of pediatric weight estimation methods

Andrew Shieh1, Alexander J Rogers2, Chiu-Mei Chen1

  • 1Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Michigan, 1500 E. Medical Center Dr., Ann Arbor, MI 48109, United States of America.

Insights

The Broselow tape is the most accurate method for estimating pediatric weight, especially for children with medical complexity. The Antevy formula is the best age-based option for weight estimation in children.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric medicine
  • Clinical pharmacology
  • Biostatistics

Background:

  • Accurate weight estimation is critical for pediatric patient care, particularly for children with medical complexity who face higher risks of adverse drug events.
  • Reliable weight data is essential when direct measurement is not feasible, impacting treatment efficacy and safety.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare the accuracy of various weight estimation methods in children.
  • To evaluate these methods stratified by the presence of medical complexity and body mass index (BMI).

Main Methods:

  • A retrospective cross-sectional study analyzed data from 361,755 children (<18 years) in emergency departments and clinics from 2013-2022.
  • Nine age-based formulas and two length-based methods were compared using mean average error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and agreement within 10% and 20% of measured weight.
  • Analyses were stratified by BMI and medical complexity.

Main Results:

  • The Broselow tape demonstrated superior accuracy, achieving 50.7% estimates within 10% of measured weight and the lowest MAE (2.5 kg) and RMSE (4.5 kg).
  • The Antevy formula was the most accurate age-based method (49.2% within 10%, MAE 2.8 kg, RMSE 4.7 kg).
  • Accuracy decreased with increasing BMI and estimated weight; the Broselow tape remained most accurate for children with medical complexity.

Conclusions:

  • The Broselow tape is the most accurate method for pediatric weight estimation in a large, diverse patient population, including those with medical complexity.
  • The Antevy formula stands out as the most accurate age-based approach for estimating children's weight.
Abstract