Predictive modeling of plastic pyrolysis process for the evaluation of activation energy: Explainable artificial...

Pyrolysis, a thermochemical conversion approach of transforming plastic waste to energy has tremendous potential to manage the exponentially increasing plastic waste. However, understanding the process kinetics is fundamental to engineering a sustainable process. Conventional analysis techniques do not provide insights into the influence of characteristics of feedstock on the process kinetics. Present study exemplifies the efficacy of using machine learning for predictive modeling of pyrolysis of waste plastics to understand the complexities of the interrelations of predictor variables and their influence on activation energy. The activation energy for pyrolysis of waste plastics was evaluated using machine learning models namely Random Forest, XGBoost, CatBoost, and AdaBoost regression models. Feature selection based on the multicollinearity of data and hyperparameter tuning of the models utilizing RandomizedSearchCV was conducted. Random forest model outperformed the other models with coefficient of determination (R²) value of 0.941, root mean square error (RMSE) value of 14.69 and mean absolute error (MAE) value of 8.66 for the testing dataset. The explainable artificial intelligence-based feature importance plot and the summary plot of the shapely additive explanations projected fixed carbon content, ash content, conversion value, and carbon content as significant parameters of the model in the order; fixed carbon > carbon > ash content > degree of conversion. Present study highlighted the potential of machine learning as a powerful tool to understand the influence of the characteristics of plastic waste and the degree of conversion on the activation energy of a process that is essential for designing the large-scale operations and future scale-up of the process.