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Published on: December 11, 2019
Artificial Intelligence Electrocardiography to Predict Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Chronic Lymphocytic
Georgios Christopoulos1, Zachi I Attia1, Sara J Achenbach2
1Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Background:
The use of an artificial intelligence electrocardiography (AI-ECG) algorithm has demonstrated its reliability in predicting the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) within the general population.
Objectives:
This study aimed to determine the effectiveness of the AI-ECG score in identifying patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) who are at high risk of developing AF.
Methods:
We estimated the probability of AF based on AI-ECG among patients with CLL extracted from the Mayo Clinic CLL database. Additionally, we computed the Mayo Clinic CLL AF risk score and determined its ability to predict AF.
Results:
Among 754 newly diagnosed patients with CLL, 71.4% were male (median age = 69 years). The median baseline AI-ECG score was 0.02 (range = 0-0.93), with a value ≥0.1 indicating high risk. Over a median follow-up of 5.8 years, the estimated 10-year cumulative risk of AF was 26.1%. Patients with an AI-ECG score of ≥0.1 had a significantly higher risk of AF (HR: 3.9; 95% CI: 2.6-5.7; P < 0.001). This heightened risk remained significant (HR: 2.5; 95% CI: 1.6-3.9; P < 0.001) even after adjusting for the Mayo CLL AF risk score, heart failure, chronic kidney disease, and CLL therapy. In a second cohort of CLL patients treated with a Bruton tyrosine kinase inhibitor (n = 220), a pretreatment AI-ECG score ≥0.1 showed a nonsignificant increase in the risk of AF (HR: 1.7; 95% CI: 0.8-3.6; P = 0.19).
Conclusions:
An AI-ECG algorithm, in conjunction with the Mayo CLL AF risk score, can predict the risk of AF in patients with newly diagnosed CLL. Additional studies are needed to determine the role of AI-ECG in predicting AF risk in CLL patients treated with a Bruton tyrosine kinase inhibitor.
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