Decision model for durable clinical benefit from front- or late-line immunotherapy alone or with chemotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer
- Jie Zhao 1, Lu Wang 2, Anda Zhou 3, Shidi Wen 2, Wenfeng Fang 4, Li Zhang 4, Jianchun Duan 1, Hua Bai 1, Jia Zhong 1, Rui Wan 1, Boyang Sun 1, Wei Zhuang 1, Yiwen Lin 1, Danming He 1, Lina Cui 5, Zhijie Wang 1, Jie Wang 1
- 1State Key Laboratory of Molecular Oncology, CAMS Key Laboratory of Translational Research on Lung Cancer, Department of Medical Oncology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.
- 2Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.
- 3School of Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9YL, UK.
- 4Medical Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, Guangdong, China.
- 5Department of Clinical and Translational Medicine, 3D Medicines, Inc., Shanghai, China.
- 0State Key Laboratory of Molecular Oncology, CAMS Key Laboratory of Translational Research on Lung Cancer, Department of Medical Oncology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.
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View abstract on PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.This study identifies key biomarkers for predicting durable clinical benefits from immune checkpoint inhibitors in non-small cell lung cancer. A transparent decision tree model accurately predicts patient response, aiding treatment selection.
Area Of Science
- Oncology
- Immunotherapy
- Biomarker Discovery
Background
- Predictive biomarkers for immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) lack conclusive evidence.
- Machine learning models for ICI treatment prediction are often opaque and impractical for clinical use.
Purpose Of The Study
- To provide robust evidence for predictive biomarkers in NSCLC.
- To develop a transparent decision tree model for predicting durable clinical benefits (DCBs) from ICIs.
Main Methods
- Consolidated data from 3,288 ICI-treated NSCLC patients across real-world and clinical trial cohorts.
- Examined over 50 features to identify significant biomarkers for DCB prediction.
- Developed and validated a decision tree model (DT10) incorporating clinicopathological and genomic markers.
Main Results
- Identified tumor histology, PD-L1 expression, tumor mutational burden, and specific gene mutations (EGFR, KRAS, KEAP1, STK11, TP53) as significant predictors.
- The DT10 model achieved an AUC of 0.82 in predicting DCB, outperforming other models.
- DT10-predicted responders showed longer survival and an inflamed tumor immune phenotype, while non-responders exhibited a desert immune phenotype.
Conclusions
- The developed decision tree model effectively predicts durable clinical benefit from ICI treatment in NSCLC.
- The model provides clinicians with valuable, cost-effective insights for treatment efficacy prediction across different patient groups and treatment lines.
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