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Published on: November 10, 2023
Compound mortality impacts from extreme temperatures and the COVID-19 pandemic
Y T Eunice Lo1,2, Dann M Mitchell3,4, Antonio Gasparrini5
1Cabot Institute for the Environment, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK. eunice.lo@bristol.ac.uk.
Extreme weather events and pandemics like COVID-19 pose significant health risks. This study found that temperature-related deaths in England and Wales during 2020-2022 were higher than COVID-19 deaths, highlighting the need for preparedness.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Health
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Extreme weather events and pandemics are major global health threats.
- The combined health impacts of these concurrent events remain underquantified.
- The COVID-19 pandemic and extreme temperatures represent significant public health challenges.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantify the mortality burden of extreme heat and cold events in England and Wales between 2020-2022.
- To compare temperature-related mortality with COVID-19 mortality during the pandemic's peak.
- To assess the compound health consequences of extreme weather and pandemics.
Main Methods:
- Estimation of temperature-attributable mortality for England and Wales (2020-2022).
- Comparison of excess deaths from extreme temperatures versus COVID-19.
- Analysis of mortality data during periods of heatwaves and cold snaps.
Main Results:
- Temperature-related mortality exceeded COVID-19 mortality by 8% in South West England.
- Combined extreme temperatures and COVID-19 caused 19-24 excess deaths per 100,000 during heatwaves.
- Combined extreme temperatures and COVID-19 caused 80-127 excess deaths per 100,000 during cold snaps, double the previous decade's rates.
Conclusions:
- Extreme weather events significantly contribute to mortality, especially when coinciding with pandemics.
- Preparedness for compound health crises involving extreme weather and pandemics is crucial.
- The study underscores the escalating health burden from weather hazards and pandemics.
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