Predicting Complications in 153 Lumbar Pedicle Subtraction Osteotomies by a Single Surgeon Over a 6-Year Period

Pedicle subtraction osteotomy (PSO) is a complex surgical procedure that provides correction of moderate sagittal imbalance. Surgical complications have adverse effects on patient outcomes and healthcare costs, making it imperative for clinical researchers to focus on minimizing complications. However, when it comes to risk modeling of PSO surgery, there is currently no consensus on which patient characteristics or measures should be used. This study aimed to describe complications and compare the performance of various sociodemographic characteristics, surgical variables, and established risk indices in predicting postoperative complications, infections, and readmissions after lumbar PSO surgeries.

A review was conducted on 191 patients who underwent PSO surgery at a single institution by a single fellowship-trained orthopaedic spine surgeon between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2021. Demographic, intraoperative, and postoperative data within 30 days, 1 year, and 2 years of the index procedure were evaluated. Descriptive statistics, t -test, chi-squared analysis, and logistic regression models were used.

Intraoperative complications were significantly associated with coronary artery disease (odds ratios [OR] 3.95, P = 0.03) and operating room time (OR 1.01, P = 0.006). 30-day complications were significantly cardiovascular disease (OR 2.68, P = 0.04) and levels fused (OR 1.10, P = 0.04). 2-year complications were significantly associated with cardiovascular disease (OR 2.85, P = 0.02). 30-day readmissions were significantly associated with sex (4.47, 0.04) and length of hospital stay (χ 2 = 0.07, P = 0.04). 2-year readmissions were significantly associated with age (χ 2 = 0.50, P = 0.03), hypertension (χ 2 = 4.64, P = 0.03), revision surgeries (χ 2 = 5.46, P = 0.02), and length of hospital stay (χ 2 = 0.07, P = 0.03).

This study found that patients with coronary vascular disease and longer fusions were at higher risk of postoperative complications and patients with notable intraoperative blood loss were at higher risk of postoperative infections. In addition, physicians should closely follow patients with extended postoperative hospital stays, with advanced age, and undergoing revision surgery because these patients were more likely to be readmitted to the hospital.