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Signal Acquisition, Score Interpretation, and Economics of a Non-Invasive Point-of-Care Test for Coronary Artery Disease
Published on: August 9, 2024
Health economic analysis of polygenic risk score use in primary prevention of coronary artery disease - A system
Stephen T Vernon1,2,3, Stuart Brentnall4, Danielle J Currie4
1Cardiovascular Discovery Group, Kolling Institute of Medical Research, University of Sydney, Australia.
Insights
Integrating Polygenic Risk Scores (PRS) into Australia's cardiovascular disease prevention programs can significantly reduce deaths and improve health outcomes. Wider adoption of PRS offers greater cost-effectiveness and societal benefits for cardiovascular health.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular disease prevention
- Genomics in healthcare
- Health economics
Background:
- Traditional risk scores inadequately identify individuals at risk of acute cardiovascular events.
- There is a need to enhance primary prevention strategies for cardiovascular disease (CVD).
Purpose of the Study:
- To model the impact and cost-effectiveness of integrating Polygenic Risk Scores (PRS) into Australia's CVD primary prevention program.
- To assess the economic benefits of using PRS alongside traditional risk scores.
Main Methods:
- Utilized system dynamics models to simulate acute and chronic CVD care in Australia over a 10-year horizon.
- Assessed the cost-effectiveness of incorporating a Coronary Artery Disease PRS (CAD-PRS) in primary prevention.
- Modeled pragmatic integration of CAD-PRS for individuals at low/moderate risk via Heart Health Checks.
Main Results:
- Pragmatic CAD-PRS integration could prevent 2,052 deaths and gain 24,085 QALYs at $19,945/QALY, yielding a $724 million net benefit.
- Widespread use (all Australians >35) could prevent 12,374 deaths and 60,284 acute coronary events, gaining 183,682 QALYs at $18,531/QALY, with a $5.78 billion net benefit.
Conclusions:
- Incorporating CAD-PRS into Australian primary prevention offers significant health and economic advantages.
- Increased uptake of CAD-PRS in primary prevention leads to greater impact and cost-effectiveness.
- CAD-PRS represents a valuable tool for enhancing cardiovascular disease primary prevention strategies.
Background:
Primary prevention programs utilising traditional risk scores fail to identify all individuals who suffer acute cardiovascular events. We aimed to model the impact and cost effectiveness of incorporating a Polygenic risk scores (PRS) into the cardiovascular disease CVD primary prevention program in Australia, using a whole-of-system model.
Methods:
System dynamics models, encompassing acute and chronic CVD care in the Australian healthcare setting, assessing the cost-effectiveness of incorporating a CAD-PRS in the primary prevention setting. The time horizon was 10-years.
Results:
Pragmatically incorporating a CAD-PRS in the Australian primary prevention setting in middle-aged individuals already attending a Heart Health Check (HHC) who are determined to be at low or moderate risk based on the 5-year Framingham risk score (FRS), with conservative assumptions regarding uptake of PRS, could have prevented 2, 052 deaths over 10-years, and resulted in 24, 085 QALYs gained at a cost of $19, 945 per QALY with a net benefit of $724 million. If all Australians overs the age of 35 years old had their FRS and PRS performed, and acted upon, 12, 374 deaths and 60, 284 acute coronary events would be prevented, with 183, 682 QALYs gained at a cost of $18, 531 per QALY, with a net benefit of $5, 780 million.
Conclusions:
Incorporating a CAD-PRS in a contemporary primary prevention setting in Australia would result in substantial health and societal benefits and is cost-effective. The broader the uptake of CAD-PRS in the primary prevention setting in middle-aged Australians, the greater the impact and the more cost-effective the strategy.
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