Deep learning-based risk stratification of preoperative breast biopsies using digital whole slide images

Nottingham histological grade (NHG) is a well established prognostic factor in breast cancer histopathology but has a high inter-assessor variability with many tumours being classified as intermediate grade, NHG2. Here, we evaluate if DeepGrade, a previously developed model for risk stratification of resected tumour specimens, could be applied to risk-stratify tumour biopsy specimens.

A total of 11,955,755 tiles from 1169 whole slide images of preoperative biopsies from 896 patients diagnosed with breast cancer in Stockholm, Sweden, were included. DeepGrade, a deep convolutional neural network model, was applied for the prediction of low- and high-risk tumours. It was evaluated against clinically assigned grades NHG1 and NHG3 on the biopsy specimen but also against the grades assigned to the corresponding resection specimen using area under the operating curve (AUC). The prognostic value of the DeepGrade model in the biopsy setting was evaluated using time-to-event analysis.

Based on preoperative biopsy images, the DeepGrade model predicted resected tumour cases of clinical grades NHG1 and NHG3 with an AUC of 0.908 (95% CI: 0.88; 0.93). Furthermore, out of the 432 resected clinically-assigned NHG2 tumours, 281 (65%) were classified as DeepGrade-low and 151 (35%) as DeepGrade-high. Using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model the hazard ratio between DeepGrade low- and high-risk groups was estimated as 2.01 (95% CI: 1.06; 3.79).

DeepGrade provided prediction of tumour grades NHG1 and NHG3 on the resection specimen using only the biopsy specimen. The results demonstrate that the DeepGrade model can provide decision support to identify high-risk tumours based on preoperative biopsies, thus improving early treatment decisions.