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Updated: Jun 24, 2025

An R-Based Landscape Validation of a Competing Risk Model
Published on: September 16, 2022
Development of a Multi-Hazard Landscape for Exposure and Risk Interpretation: The PRISM Approach.
Kyle D Buck1, J Kevin Summers1, Stephen Hafner1
1United States Environmental Protection Agency, Gulf Ecology Division, 1 Sabine Island Drive, Gulf Breeze, FL 32561.
This study introduces a new multi-hazard risk assessment method using land area and land-use weighting. It reveals high risks to natural systems, particularly in the western United States, informing community resilience planning.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Risk Assessment
- Geospatial Analysis
Background:
- Traditional multi-hazard risk assessments focus on small scales, limiting broader applicability.
- Existing methods struggle with diverse hazard types and large geographical areas.
- Monetary loss calculations can bias risk assessments in urbanized regions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a novel approach for multi-hazard risk assessment applicable to larger scales.
- To integrate multiple hazard types and land-use impacts into a unified risk index.
- To inform community-level decision-making for disaster mitigation and resilience.
Main Methods:
- Developed a risk index by coalescing multiple hazards and losses.
- Assessed exposures as a proportion of land area for combined hazard calculations.
- Weighted risk calculations by land-use types (built, dual-benefit, natural) at the county level.
Main Results:
- Identified a risk landscape with high exposure to natural systems.
- The western United States shows a significant concentration of multi-hazard risk.
- Analysis revealed dynamic risk-scapes influenced by land-use and temporal factors.
Conclusions:
- The developed method provides a more detailed analysis of land impacts, reducing urban bias.
- The risk index offers a dynamic view of multi-hazard exposures over time and space.
- This approach supports informed community decisions tailored to local hazard profiles.
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