Pulmonary function, genetic predisposition, and the risk of cirrhosis: A prospective cohort study

Pulmonary function is associated with the development of chronic liver disease. However, evidence of the association between pulmonary function and cirrhosis risk is still lacking. This study aimed to investigate the longitudinal associations of pulmonary function with the development of cirrhosis, and to explore whether genetic predisposition to cirrhosis could modify these associations.

Of 294,835 participants free of cirrhosis and had undergone spirometry at baseline from the UK Biobank were included. Cirrhosis diagnoses were ascertained through linked hospital records and death registries. Cox proportional hazard models were employed to investigate the longitudinal associations between pulmonary function, genetic predisposition, and cirrhosis risk.

During a median follow-up of 12.0 years, 2598 incident cirrhosis cases were documented. Compared to individuals with normal spirometry findings, those with preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) findings (hazard ratio [HR] and 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.32 [1.18, 1.48]) and airflow obstruction (HR [95%CI]: 1.19 [1.07, 1.31]) had a higher risk of developing cirrhosis after adjustments. These associations were consistent across all categories of genetic predisposition, with no observed modifying effect of genetic predisposition. In joint exposure analyses, the highest risk was observed in individuals with both a high genetic predisposition for cirrhosis and PRISm findings (HR [95% CI]: 1.74 [1.45, 2.08]).

Our findings indicate that worse pulmonary function is a significant risk factor of cirrhosis, irrespective of genetic predisposition. Early identification and appropriate intervention for pulmonary function may lead to more effective healthcare resource utilization and reduce the burden associated with cirrhosis.