Improved liver disease prediction from clinical data through an evaluation of ensemble learning approaches

Liver disease causes two million deaths annually, accounting for 4% of all deaths globally. Prediction or early detection of the disease via machine learning algorithms on large clinical data have become promising and potentially powerful, but such methods often have some limitations due to the complexity of the data. In this regard, ensemble learning has shown promising results. There is an urgent need to evaluate different algorithms and then suggest a robust ensemble algorithm in liver disease prediction.

Three ensemble approaches with nine algorithms are evaluated on a large dataset of liver patients comprising 30,691 samples with 11 features. Various preprocessing procedures are utilized to feed the proposed model with better quality data, in addition to the appropriate tuning of hyperparameters and selection of features.

The models' performances with each algorithm are extensively evaluated with several positive and negative performance metrics along with runtime. Gradient boosting is found to have the overall best performance with 98.80% accuracy and 98.50% precision, recall and F1-score for each.

The proposed model with gradient boosting bettered in most metrics compared with several recent similar works, suggesting its efficacy in predicting liver disease. It can be further applied to predict other diseases with the commonality of predicate indicators.