Meta-analysis application to hERG safety evaluation in clinical trials

One objective of meta-analysis, which synthesizes evidence across multiple studies, is to assess the consistency and investigate the heterogeneity across studies. In this project, we performed a meta-analysis on moxifloxacin (positive control in QT assessment studies) data to characterize the exposure-response relationship and determine the safety margin associated with 10-msec QTc effects for moxifloxacin based on 26 thorough QT studies submitted to the FDA. Multiple meta-analysis methods were used (including two novel methods) to evaluate the exposure-response relationship and estimate the critical concentration and the corresponding confidence interval of moxifloxacin associated with a 10-msec QTc effect based on the concentration-QTc models. These meta-analysis methods (aggregate data vs. individual participant data; fixed effect vs. random effect) were compared in terms of their precision and robustness. With the selected meta-analysis method, we demonstrated the homogeneity and heterogeneity of the moxifloxacin concentration-QTc relationship in studies. We also estimated the critical concentration of moxifloxacin that can be used to calculate the hERG safety margin of this drug.