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mbtransfer: Microbiome intervention analysis using transfer functions and mirror statistics.

Kris Sankaran1, Pratheepa Jeganathan2

  • 1Department of Statistics, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America.

Plos Computational Biology
|June 14, 2024
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

We developed novel transfer function models for microbial community dynamics, improving temporal memory and accuracy in predicting intervention effects. This approach helps identify key microbial taxa impacted by environmental changes.

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Area of Science:

  • Microbiology
  • Computational Biology
  • Systems Biology

Background:

  • Microbiome time series studies are crucial for understanding microbial ecosystem structure.
  • Current models for microbial community dynamics have limitations in temporal memory and expressivity, often relying on Markov or linearity assumptions.
  • These limitations hinder accurate prediction of microbial responses to interventions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To introduce a new class of models for microbial community dynamics based on transfer functions.
  • To capture delayed effects of environmental changes on microbial communities.
  • To enable simulation of trajectories under hypothetical interventions and identification of significantly perturbed taxa.

Main Methods:

  • Developed a novel class of models utilizing transfer functions to learn impulse responses.
  • Modeled the potentially delayed effects of environmental changes on microbial community structure.
  • Implemented False Discovery Rate (FDR) guarantees for selecting significantly perturbed taxa.
  • Utilized simulations to compare the new approach against existing baselines.

Main Results:

  • The transfer function models demonstrated reduced forecasting errors compared to strong baselines.
  • The approach accurately pinpointed taxa of interest, indicating effective identification of perturbed microbes.
  • Case studies showcased the interpretability of the differential response trajectories derived from the models.

Conclusions:

  • Transfer function models offer enhanced temporal memory and expressivity for microbial community dynamics.
  • This novel approach improves the accuracy of predicting intervention effects and identifying key microbial taxa.
  • The developed R package, mbtransfer, facilitates the application and replication of these methods.