Mendelian randomization study on the causal effect of herpes simplex virus infection on idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Previous observational studies have shown that past infection of herpes simplex virus (HSV) is associated with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). The present study aims to identify the causal link between HSV infection (exposure factor) and IPF (outcome factor).

To date, the largest publicly available genome-wide association study (GWAS) for HSV infection (1,595 cases and 211,856 controls from Finnish ancestry) and for IPF (1,028 cases and 196,986 controls from Finnish ancestry) were used to perform this two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study.

We found no significant pleiotropy or heterogeneity of all selected nine HSV infection-associated genetic instrumental variants (IVs) in IPF GWAS dataset. Interestingly, we found that as HSV infection genetically increased, IPF risk increased based on an inverse-variance weighted (IVW) analysis (odds ratio [OR] = 1.280, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.048-1.563; p = 0.015) and weighted median (OR = 1.321, 95% CI: 1.032-1.692; p = 0.027).

Our analysis suggests a causal effect of genetically increased HSV infection on IPF risk. Thus, HSV infection may be a potential risk factor for IPF.