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Identifying target populations to align with decision-makers' needs
Jennifer L Lund1, Anthony A Matthews2
1Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, United States.
Abstract:
Randomized trials estimate the average treatment effect within individuals who are eligible, invited, and agree to enroll. However, decision-makers often require evidence that extends beyond the trial's enrolled population to inform policy or actions for their specific target population. Each decision-maker has distinct target populations, the composition of which may not often align with that of the trial population. As researchers, we should identify a decision-maker for whom we aim to generate evidence early in the research process. We can then specify a target population of their interest and determine if a policy or action can be informed using results from a trial alone, or if additional complementary real-world data and analysis are required. In this commentary, we outline 5 key groupings of decision-makers: policymakers, payers, purchasers, providers, and patients. We then specify relevant target populations for decision-makers interested in the effectiveness of beta-blockers after a myocardial infarction with preserved ejection fraction. Finally, we summarize the scenarios in which results from a randomized trial may or may not apply to these target populations and suggest relevant analytic approaches that can generate evidence to better align with a decision-maker's needs. This article is part of a Special Collection on Pharmacoepidemiology.
Insights
Randomized trials provide average treatment effects, but decision-makers need evidence tailored to specific populations. Researchers should align trial design with decision-maker needs for relevant real-world data and analysis.
Area of Science:
- Clinical Trials
- Pharmacoepidemiology
- Health Services Research
Background:
- Randomized trials (RCTs) assess average treatment effects in enrolled participants.
- Decision-makers require evidence applicable to their specific target populations, which often differ from RCT populations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To guide researchers in aligning evidence generation with decision-maker needs.
- To identify decision-maker groups and their target populations for specific health interventions.
- To determine when RCTs alone suffice versus when real-world data is needed.
Main Methods:
- Outlined 5 key decision-maker groups: policymakers, payers, purchasers, providers, and patients.
- Specified target populations for beta-blocker effectiveness post-myocardial infarction with preserved ejection fraction.
- Summarized scenarios where RCT results apply and suggested analytic approaches.
Main Results:
- RCT generalizability varies depending on the alignment between trial and target populations.
- Real-world data and complementary analyses are often necessary to inform specific decision-maker needs.
- A structured approach is needed to bridge the gap between trial evidence and policy application.
Conclusions:
- Researchers must proactively identify decision-makers and their target populations early in the research process.
- Tailoring evidence generation to specific decision-maker contexts enhances the utility of research findings.
- Integrating RCTs with real-world data analysis is crucial for informing diverse healthcare decisions.
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