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Structural Uncertainty Due to Fault Timing: A Multimodel Case Study from the Perth Basin
Kerry Bardot, Martin Lesueur1,2, Adam J Siade1,3
1School of Earth Sciences, University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia.
Fault timing significantly impacts groundwater flow, more than conductivity. Understanding fault behavior is crucial for accurate groundwater modeling and management.
Area of Science:
- Hydrogeology
- Geological Modeling
- Geophysical Fluid Dynamics
Background:
- Faults are critical in groundwater studies, influencing flow and creating uncertainty.
- Research often overlooks fault timing and vertical termination, assuming recent, instantaneous faulting.
- Existing models may oversimplify fault behavior, impacting hydrological predictions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the impact of fault timing on groundwater flow regimes.
- To compare the influence of fault timing versus conductivity on groundwater flow.
- To assess the implications of fault behavior on aquitard integrity and contaminant transport.
Main Methods:
- Developed three geological interpretations for a Perth Basin transect with unknown fault timing.
- Utilized flow modeling to simulate groundwater patterns under different faulting scenarios.
- Performed multiple realizations with stochastic parameter sets for layers and fault zones.
Main Results:
- Recent faulting models showed distinct flow patterns due to aquifer juxtaposition.
- Fault timing had a greater influence on groundwater flow than layer or fault zone conductivity.
- Fault conduit behavior breaching aquitards significantly impacts transport; barrier behavior has minimal effect.
Conclusions:
- Fault timing is a critical factor in groundwater flow and transport modeling.
- Multiple geological models are essential for addressing structural uncertainty in faulted systems.
- Further data collection is recommended to understand fault impacts on aquitards and groundwater systems.
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