Multi-step real-time prediction of hard-rock TBM penetration rate combining temporal convolutional network and...

Accurate penetration rate prediction enhances rock-breaking efficiency and reduces disc cutter damage in tunnel boring machine (TBM) construction. However, this process faces significant challenges such as the high uncertainty of ground conditions and the complexity of maintaining optimal TBM operation in long and large tunnels. To address these challenges, we propose TCN-SENet++, a novel hybrid multistep real-time penetration rate prediction model that combines a temporal convolutional network (TCN) and a squeeze-and-excitation (SENet) block for aided tunneling. This study aims to demonstrate the application of TCN-SENet++, as well as other models such as RNN, LSTM, GRU, and TCN, for TBM penetration rate prediction. The model was developed using actual datasets collected from the Yin-Song diversion project. We employ a 30-s time step to predict the future time steps of the penetration rate (1st, 3rd, 5th, 7th, and 9th). The features that influence the penetration rate, such as the cutterhead torque, thrust, and cutterhead power, were considered. A comparative analysis using the mean absolute error and mean squared error revealed that the TCN-SENet++ model outperformed the other models, including RNN, LSTM, GRU, TCN, and TCN-SENet+. In comparison, TCN-SENet++ achieved average MSE reductions of 18%, 6%, 3%, 1%, and 2%, respectively. The TCN-SENet++ model demonstrated fewer errors in the new project, validating its effectiveness and suitability for real-time penetration rate prediction in TBM construction.