Polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins and polychlorinated dibenzofurans (PCDD/Fs) prediction model based on limited peat...

Polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins and polychlorinated dibenzofurans (PCDD/Fs) are involuntary by-products of incomplete combustion and are highly toxic to humans and the environment. The Malaysian peat is often acidic or extremely acidic having high levels of chlorine and/or other organic acids that act as catalysts or precursors in PCDD/Fs formation. This study aims to predict PCDD/Fs emissions in peat soil using an artificial neural network (ANN) approach based on limited emission data and selected physico-chemical properties. The ANN's prediction performance is affected by uncertainties in its initial connection weights. To improve prediction performance, an optimisation algorithm, termed differential evolution (DE), is used to optimise the ANN's initial connection weights and bias. The study adopts several ANNs with fixed architecture to predict PCDD/Fs emissions, each consisting of a multilayer perceptron (MLP) with a backpropagation algorithm. Eight input variables and one output variable were adopted to train and test various neural network architectures using real-world datasets. The model optimisation procedure was conducted to ascertain the network architecture with the best predictive accuracy. The evolved ANN based on 5 hidden neurons, with the assistance of self-adaptive ensemble-based differential evolution with enhanced population sizing (SAEDE-EP), successfully produced the lowest MSE_test (6.1790 × 10^-3) and highest R² (0.97447) based on the mean among the other HNs. An evolutionary-optimised ANN-based methodology is a viable solution to predict PCDD/Fs in peat soil. It is cost-effective for pollution control, environmental monitoring and capable of aiding authorities prevent PCDD/Fs exposure, e.g., during a fire.