Surgical Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation: Risk Factors for Recurrence and Long-Term Outcome

Jonathan Frogel1, Alexander Kogan2, John G Augoustides3

  • 1Department of Anesthesiology, Sheba Medical Center at Tel Hashomer, Ramat Gan, Israel; Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.

Insights

Surgical ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF) demonstrates high long-term success rates, with significant freedom from arrhythmia up to 7 years. Age and female sex were identified as key factors influencing AF recurrence.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Cardiac Surgery
  • Electrophysiology

Background:

  • Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a prevalent cardiac arrhythmia with limited drug efficacy.
  • Interventional treatments like catheter and surgical ablation are increasingly explored.
  • Surgical ablation, or the maze procedure, is an option for patients undergoing cardiac surgery.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the short- and long-term outcomes of surgical ablation for AF.
  • To identify risk factors for arrhythmia recurrence and mortality after surgical AF ablation.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from 668 patients.
  • Surgical AF ablation performed between January 2006 and June 2022.
  • Follow-up assessments at 1, 3, 5, and 7 years for arrhythmia recurrence and mortality.

Main Results:

  • High freedom from AF at 1 year (97.6%), 3 years (95.3%), 5 years (90.1%), and 7 years (77.5%).
  • Mortality rates at 1, 3, 5, and 7 years were 3%, 6.1%, 9.1%, and 10.8%, respectively.
  • Age and female sex predicted 7-year AF recurrence; diabetes, age, and valve surgery predicted 7-year mortality.

Conclusions:

  • Surgical ablation offers a high success rate for treating atrial fibrillation.
  • Long-term follow-up confirms sustained freedom from atrial arrhythmia.
  • Predictive factors for recurrence and mortality were identified, aiding risk stratification.
Abstract