Identification of a gene expression signature of vascular invasion and recurrence in stage I lung adenocarcinoma via bulk and spatial transcriptomics

Microscopic vascular invasion (VI) is predictive of recurrence and benefit from lobectomy in stage I lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) but is difficult to assess in resection specimens and cannot be accurately predicted prior to surgery. Thus, new biomarkers are needed to identify this aggressive subset of stage I LUAD tumors. To assess molecular and microenvironment features associated with angioinvasive LUAD we profiled 162 resected stage I tumors with and without VI by RNA-seq and explored spatial patterns of gene expression in a subset of 15 samples by high-resolution spatial transcriptomics (stRNA-seq). Despite the small size of invaded blood vessels, we identified a gene expression signature of VI from the bulk RNA-seq discovery cohort (n=103) and found that it was associated with VI foci, desmoplastic stroma, and high-grade patterns in our stRNA-seq data. We observed a stronger association with high-grade patterns from VI⁺ compared with VI^- tumors. Using the discovery cohort, we developed a transcriptomic predictor of VI, that in an independent validation cohort (n=60) was associated with VI (AUROC=0.86; p=5.42×10^-6) and predictive of recurrence-free survival (HR=1.98; p=0.024), even in VI^- LUAD (HR=2.76; p=0.003). To determine our VI predictor's robustness to intra-tumor heterogeneity we used RNA-seq data from multi-region sampling of stage I LUAD cases in TRACERx, where the predictor scores showed high correlation (R=0.87, p<2.2×10^-16) between two randomly sampled regions of the same tumor. Our study suggests that VI-associated gene expression changes are detectable beyond the site of intravasation and can be used to predict the presence of VI. This may enable the prediction of angioinvasive LUAD from biopsy specimens, allowing for more tailored medical and surgical management of stage I LUAD.