Modeling the Growth and Size Distribution of Human Pluripotent Stem Cell Clusters in Culture

Human pluripotent stem cells (hPSCs) hold promise for regenerative medicine to replace essential cells that die or become dysfunctional. In some cases, these cells can be used to form clusters whose size distribution affects the growth dynamics. We develop models to predict cluster size distributions of hPSCs based on several plausible hypotheses, including (0) exponential growth, (1) surface growth, (2) Logistic growth, and (3) Gompertz growth. We use experimental data to investigate these models. A partial differential equation for the dynamics of the cluster size distribution is used to fit parameters (rates of growth, mortality, etc.). A comparison of the models using their mean squared error and the Akaike Information criterion suggests that Models 1 (surface growth) or 2 (Logistic growth) best describe the data.