Machine learning-based QSAR and LB-PaCS-MD guided design of SARS-CoV-2 main protease inhibitors

The global outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus had led to profound respiratory health implications. This study focused on designing organoselenium-based inhibitors targeting the SARS-CoV-2 main protease (M^pro). The ligand-binding pathway sampling method based on parallel cascade selection molecular dynamics (LB-PaCS-MD) simulations was employed to elucidate plausible paths and conformations of ebselen, a synthetic organoselenium drug, within the M^pro catalytic site. Ebselen effectively engaged the active site, adopting proximity to H41 and interacting through the benzoisoselenazole ring in a π-π T-shaped arrangement, with an additional π-sulfur interaction with C145. In addition, the ligand-based drug design using the QSAR with GFA-MLR, RF, and ANN models were employed for biological activity prediction. The QSAR-ANN model showed robust statistical performance, with an r²_training exceeding 0.98 and an RMSE_test of 0.21, indicating its suitability for predicting biological activities. Integration the ANN model with the LB-PaCS-MD insights enabled the rational design of novel compounds anchored in the ebselen core structure, identifying promising candidates with favorable predicted IC₅₀ values. The designed compounds exhibited suitable drug-like characteristics and adopted an active conformation similar to ebselen, inhibiting M^pro function. These findings represent a synergistic approach merging ligand and structure-based drug design; with the potential to guide experimental synthesis and enzyme assay testing.