Respiratory Syncytial Virus Vaccine Design Using Structure-Based Machine-Learning Models

When designing live-attenuated respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine candidates, attenuating mutations can be developed through biologic selection or reverse-genetic manipulation and may include point mutations, codon and gene deletions, and genome rearrangements. Attenuation typically involves the reduction in virus replication, due to direct effects on viral structural and replicative machinery or viral factors that antagonize host defense or cause disease. However, attenuation must balance reduced replication and immunogenic antigen expression. In the present study, we explored a new approach in order to discover attenuating mutations. Specifically, we used protein structure modeling and computational methods to identify amino acid substitutions in the RSV nonstructural protein 1 (NS1) predicted to cause various levels of structural perturbation. Twelve different mutations predicted to alter the NS1 protein structure were introduced into infectious virus and analyzed in cell culture for effects on viral mRNA and protein expression, interferon and cytokine expression, and caspase activation. We found the use of structure-based machine learning to predict amino acid substitutions that reduce the thermodynamic stability of NS1 resulted in various levels of loss of NS1 function, exemplified by effects including reduced multi-cycle viral replication in cells competent for type I interferon, reduced expression of viral mRNAs and proteins, and increased interferon and apoptosis responses.