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A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
A multi-centre longitudinal study analysing multiple sclerosis disease-modifying therapy prescribing patterns during
Anoushka P Lal1,2, Yi Chao Foong1,2,3, Paul G Sanfilippo1
1Department of Neuroscience, Central Clinical School, The Alfred, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Clinicians shifted multiple sclerosis (MS) treatment post-COVID-19, favoring natalizumab and cladribine over anti-CD20 monoclonal antibodies and fingolimod to reduce perceived risks. This change may impact disease progression in people with MS.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Immunology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- COVID-19 concerns prompted investigation into disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for multiple sclerosis (MS).
- Specific concerns focused on anti-CD20 monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) and fingolimod potentially worsening COVID-19 outcomes in people with MS (pwMS).
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze changes in DMT prescribing trends among pwMS before and after the COVID-19 pandemic onset.
- To understand how clinical concerns influenced treatment choices during a global health crisis.
Main Methods:
- A multi-center, longitudinal study involving 8,771 participants from the MSBase registry.
- Comparison of DMT prescribing data from two periods: pre-pandemic (March 2018-March 2020) and post-pandemic onset (March 2020-March 2022).
- Statistical analysis using multivariable mixed-effects logistic regression to identify trends in DMT initiation and switching.
Main Results:
- Post-pandemic, significant increases in initiation and switching were observed for natalizumab and cladribine.
- Anti-CD20 mAb use saw an initial decrease followed by a slight overall increase post-pandemic.
- Initiation and switching of fingolimod, interferon-beta, and alemtuzumab significantly decreased.
Conclusions:
- Clinicians preferentially prescribed natalizumab and cladribine post-pandemic, likely balancing efficacy with reduced perceived immunosuppressive risks.
- These prescribing shifts may influence long-term disease progression in pwMS.
- Findings underscore the need for equitable DMT access and evidence-based decision-making during global health challenges.
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