Preoperative CT-based radiomics and deep learning model for predicting risk stratification of gastric...

Gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) are clinically heterogeneous with various malignant potential in different individuals. It is crucial to explore a reliable method for preoperative risk stratification of gastric GISTs noninvasively.

To establish and evaluate a machine learning model using the combination of computed tomography (CT) morphology, radiomics, and deep learning features to predict the risk stratification of primary gastric GISTs preoperatively.

The 193 gastric GISTs lesions were randomly divided into training set, validation set, and test set in a ratio of 6:2:2. The qualitative and quantitative CT morphological features were assessed by two radiologists. The tumors were segmented manually, and then radiomic features were extracted using PyRadiomics and the deep learning features were extracted using pre-trained Resnet50 from arterial phase and venous phase CT images, respectively. Pearson correlation analysis and recursive feature elimination were used for feature selection. Support vector machines were employed to build a classifier for predicting the risk stratification of GISTs. This study compared the performance of models using different pre-trained convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to extract deep features for classification, as well as the performance of modeling features from single-phase and dual-phase images. The arterial phase, venous phase and dual-phase machine learning models were built, respectively, and the morphological features were added to the dual-phase machine learning model to construct a combined model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the efficacy of each model. The clinical application value of the combined model was determined through the decision curve analysis (DCA) and the net reclassification index (NRI) was analyzed.

The area under the curve (AUC) of the dual-phase machine learning model was 0.876, which was higher than that of the arterial phase model or venous phase model (0.813, 0.838, respectively). The combined model had best predictive performance than the above models with an AUC of 0.941 (95% CI: 0.887-0.974) (p = 0.012, Delong test). DCA demonstrated that the combined model had good clinical application value with an NRI of 0.575 (95% CI: 0.357-0.891).

In this study, we established a combined model that incorporated dual-phase morphology, radiomics, and deep learning characteristics, which can be used to predict the preoperative risk stratification of gastric GISTs.