Inaccurate Clinical Stage Is Common and Associated With Poor Survival in Patients With Lung Cancer

Clinical staging in lung cancer has implications for treatment planning and prognosis. We sought to determine the rate of inaccurate clinical stage (relative to pathologic), identify risk factors for inaccuracy, and evaluate the association of inaccuracy on survival. We hypothesized that inaccurate staging was associated with poor survival.

In this retrospective cohort study, adult patients who received surgical resection without neoadjuvant treatment for nonsmall cell lung cancer from 2004 to 2020 in the National Cancer Database were categorized by accuracy of clinical stage (relative to pathologic stage). Multivariate models were used to determine risk factors for inaccuracy. The association between inaccuracy and overall survival was also analyzed.

We identified 255,598 patients with lung cancer, including 84,543 patients (33.1%) who were inaccurately staged. Stage inaccuracy was associated with higher tumor, node, metastasis stage (T-category 3: odds ratio [OR] = 1.2, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.15-1.28; N-category 2: OR = 2.6, 95% CI 2.47-2.79), greater quantity of lymph nodes evaluated, and more extensive resection (extended lobectomy/bilobectomy: OR = 1.3, 95% CI 1.20-1.37; pneumonectomy: OR = 1.6, 95% CI 1.54-1.74). Patients undergoing robotic surgery were less likely to be inaccurately staged (OR = 0.89, 95% CI 0.852-0.939). Inaccurate staging was associated with worse overall survival (5-y 67.5% accurate versus 55.4% inaccurate, P < 0.001). Inaccurate staging was also associated with worse survival in a multivariate Cox model (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.3, 95% CI 1.29-1.33). Both "understaging" (path > clinical) and "overstaging" (clinical > path) were associated with inferior survival.

Inaccurate clinical stage (relative to pathologic) occurs in one-third of patients receiving surgery for lung cancer. Inaccuracy is associated with poor survival. Quality improvement initiatives should focus on improving clinical staging accuracy.