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Weather Variability and COPD: A Risk Estimation Identified a Vulnerable Sub-population in Hungary
Gergely Márovics1, Éva Pozsgai2,3, Balázs Németh2
1Department of Public Health Medicine, University of Pécs Medical School, Pécs, Hungary; gergely.marovics@aok.pte.hu.
Background/Aim:
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a major public health concern, affecting over 200 million people worldwide in 2019. The prevalence of COPD has risen by 40% from 1990 to 2010 and continued to increase by 13% from 2010 to 2019, causing over 3 million deaths globally in 2019, ranking it as the third leading cause of death. This study explored how daily weather changes relate to the number of COPD-related emergency department (ED) visits.
Materials And Methods:
We collected data on daily COPD-related ED visits in 2017 in Pécs along with corresponding meteorological data to analyze this connection.
Results:
High diurnal temperature range (DTR) and day-to-day variability in dew point were linked to a 4.5% increased risk of more COPD-related ED visits. Notably, DTR had a stronger impact on males, contributing to a 6.3% increase, while dew point variability significantly affected males with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.083. (OR=1.083). Stratifying by age revealed heightened risks for those aged 30-39 (43.5% increase) and 50-59 (7.6% increase). Females aged 30-39 and 50-59 faced elevated risks of 42.7% and 9.1%, respectively, whereas males aged 60-69 showed a 9.8% increase.
Conclusion:
Our findings highlight the influence of weather variations on COPD-related ED visits, with nuanced effects based on age and sex.
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