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Identifying Coronary Artery Calcification on Non-gated Computed Tomography Scans
Published on: August 28, 2018
AI-enabled Cardiac Chambers Volumetry and Calcified Plaque Characterization in Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) Scans
Morteza Naghavi1, Anthony Reeves2, Kyle Atlas1
1HeartLung.AI.
Insights
Artificial intelligence applied to coronary artery calcium (CAC) scans significantly improves prediction of all cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. AI-CAC analysis offers superior risk stratification over the traditional Agatston Score for better patient outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Medical Imaging
- Artificial Intelligence
Background:
- Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scans traditionally use the Agatston Score for coronary heart disease (CHD) prediction.
- CAC scans contain underutilized data for predicting a broader range of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate if artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms applied to CAC scans can enhance the prediction of all CVD events, not just CHD.
- To compare the predictive performance of AI-analyzed CAC scans (AI-CAC) against the standard Agatston Score.
Main Methods:
- AI-enabled automated plaque characterization and cardiac chamber volumetry were applied to CAC scans from 5830 individuals in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).
- The study analyzed 15-year CVD event outcomes, comparing the predictive discrimination of AI-CAC versus the Agatston Score using time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) and Net Reclassification Index (NRI).
Main Results:
- AI-CAC demonstrated significantly higher AUC values across 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year follow-ups compared to the Agatston Score (e.g., 0.816 vs. 0.729 at 15 years, p<0.0001).
- The category-free Net Reclassification Index (NRI) for AI-CAC was consistently superior to the Agatston Score (0.29-0.31, p<.0001).
- Specific AI-CAC plaque characteristics (number, location, density) further improved risk prediction, particularly in the CAC 1-100 cohort (NRI 0.342).
Conclusions:
- AI-CAC significantly and consistently improves the prediction of all cardiovascular events over 15 years compared to the traditional Agatston Score.
- This AI-driven approach enhances risk stratification for cardiovascular disease, offering potential for earlier and more accurate interventions.
Background:
Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scans contain valuable information beyond the Agatston Score which is currently reported for predicting coronary heart disease (CHD) only. We examined whether new artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms applied to CAC scans may provide significant improvement in prediction of all cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in addition to CHD, including heart failure, atrial fibrillation, stroke, resuscitated cardiac arrest, and all CVD-related deaths.
Methods:
We applied AI-enabled automated cardiac chambers volumetry and automated calcified plaque characterization to CAC scans (AI-CAC) of 5830 individuals (52.2% women, age 61.7±10.2 years) without known CVD that were previously obtained for CAC scoring at the baseline examination of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). We used 15-year outcomes data and assessed discrimination using the time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) for AI-CAC versus the Agatston Score.
Results:
During 15 years of follow-up, 1773 CVD events accrued. The AUC at 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year follow up for AI-CAC vs Agatston Score was (0.784 vs 0.701), (0.771 vs. 0.709), (0.789 vs.0.712) and (0.816 vs. 0.729) (p<0.0001 for all), respectively. The category-free Net Reclassification Index of AI-CAC vs. Agatston Score at 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year follow up was 0.31, 0.24, 0.29 and 0.29 (p<.0001 for all), respectively. AI-CAC plaque characteristics including number, location, and density of plaque plus number of vessels significantly improved NRI for CAC 1-100 cohort vs. Agatston Score (0.342).
Conclusion:
In this multi-ethnic longitudinal population study, AI-CAC significantly and consistently improved the prediction of all CVD events over 15 years compared with the Agatston score.
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