Predicting symptom severity in PSTVd-infected tomato plants using the PSTVd genome sequence

Viroids, one of the smallest known infectious agents, induce symptoms of varying severity, ranging from latent to severe, based on the combination of viroid isolates and host plant species. Because viroids are transmissible between plant species, asymptomatic viroid-infected plants may serve as latent sources of infection for other species that could exhibit severe symptoms, occasionally leading to agricultural and economic losses. Therefore, predicting the symptoms induced by viroids in host plants without biological experiments could remarkably enhance control measures against viroid damage. Here, we developed an algorithm using unsupervised machine learning to predict the severity of disease symptoms caused by viroids (e.g., potato spindle tuber viroid; PSTVd) in host plants (e.g., tomato). This algorithm, mimicking the RNA silencing mechanism thought to be linked to viroid pathogenicity, requires only the genome sequences of the viroids and host plants. It involves three steps: alignment of synthetic short sequences of the viroids to the host plant genome, calculation of the alignment coverage, and clustering of the viroids based on coverage using UMAP and DBSCAN. Validation through inoculation experiments confirmed the effectiveness of the algorithm in predicting the severity of disease symptoms induced by viroids. As the algorithm only requires the genome sequence data, it may be applied to any viroid and plant combination. These findings underscore a correlation between viroid pathogenicity and the genome sequences of viroid isolates and host plants, potentially aiding in the prevention of viroid outbreaks and the breeding of viroid-resistant crops.