Causal association of circulating cytokines with the risk of lung cancer: a Mendelian randomization study

Lung cancer is the deadliest and most prevalent malignancy worldwide. While smoking is an established cause, evidence to identify other causal factors remains lacking. Current research indicates chronic inflammation is involved in tumorigenesis and cancer development, though the specific mechanisms underlying the role of inflammatory cytokines in lung cancer pathogenesis remain unclear. This study implemented Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to investigate the causal effects of circulating cytokines on lung cancer development.

We performed a two-sample MR analysis in Europeans utilizing publicly available genome-wide association study summary statistics. Single nucleotide polymorphisms significantly associated with cytokine were selected as genetic instrumental variables.

Genetically predicted levels of the chemokine interleukin-18 (IL-18) (OR = 0.942, 95% CI: 0.897-0.990, P = 0.018) exerted significant negative causal effects on overall lung cancer risk in this analysis. Examining specific histologic subtypes revealed further evidence of genetic associations. Stem cell factor (SCF) (OR = 1.150, 95% CI: 1.021-1.296, P = 0.021) and interleukin-1beta (IL-1β) (OR = 1.152, 95% CI: 1.003-1.325, P = 0.046) were positively associated with lung adenocarcinoma risk, though no inflammatory factors showed causal links to squamous cell lung cancer risk. Stratified by smoking status, interferon gamma-induced protein 10 (IP-10) (OR = 0.861, 95% CI: 0.781-0.950, P = 0.003) was inversely associated while IL-1β (OR = 1.190, 95% CI: 1.023-1.384, P = 0.024) was positively associated with lung cancer risk in ever smokers. Among never smokers, a positive association was observed between lung cancer risk and SCF (OR = 1.474, 95% CI: 1.105-1.964, P = 0.008). Importantly, these causal inferences remained robust across multiple complementary MR approaches, including MR-Egger, weighted median, weighted mode and simple mode regressions. Sensitivity analyses also excluded potential bias stemming from pleiotropy.

This MR study found preliminary evidence that genetically predicted levels of four inflammatory cytokines-SCF, IL-1β, IL-18, and IP-10-may causally influence lung cancer risk in an overall and subtype-specific manner, as well as stratified by smoking status. Identifying these cytokine pathways that may promote lung carcinogenesis represents potential new targets for the prevention, early detection, and treatment of this deadly malignancy.