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Updated: Jun 22, 2025

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
Exploring wetland change in the Gauteng Province, South Africa
Ngonidzashe Mangoro1, Nzalalemba Serge Kubanza1, Mulala Danny Simatele2
1School of Geography, Archaeology and Environmental Studies, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Abstract:
This study investigated land use and land cover changes in the Gauteng Province of South Africa with emphasis on wetland ecosystems. Using Landsat images and various image manipulation software such as ArcGIS and ENVI, this study conducted a predictive analysis of the potential state of wetland ecosystems in the Gauteng Province of South Africa by year 2040, using illegal dumping trends in the last 20 years. Based on this methodological framework, it is found that continued illegal dumping trends would lead to an almost total disappearance of wetlands in the study area by 2040. It is argued that despite the pro-environmental initiatives introduced in the early 2000s to conserve wetlands in South Africa, wetland deterioration has increased rapidly due to the associated methodological flaws, which further supports the findings of this study. Ultimately, it is recommended that a collaborative approach to wetland conservation, and a robust methodological shift are required to mitigate the threats faced by wetlands in the Gauteng Province of South Africa, and the model can be deployed across developing countries.
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