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Memory impacts in hepatitis C: A global analysis of a fractional-order model with an effective treatment
Parvaiz Ahmad Naik1, Mehmet Yavuz2, Sania Qureshi3
1Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Youjiang Medical University for Nationalities, Baise 533000, Guangxi, China.
Insights
This study introduces a fractional-order model for Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) infection, revealing memory effects crucial for understanding transmission dynamics and improving patient outcomes. The model offers better insights for treatment and control strategies.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Mathematical Biology
- Infectious Disease Modeling
Background:
- Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) infection poses a significant global health burden, leading to severe outcomes and high costs.
- Chronic HCV infection presents public health challenges due to prevalence and poor long-term prognosis.
- Understanding HCV transmission dynamics is critical for effective control strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and analyze a fractional-order epidemic model for Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) infection.
- To incorporate memory effects into the HCV model to better understand transmission patterns.
- To calculate the basic reproduction number and determine global dynamics for HCV spread.
Main Methods:
- A fractional differential equation model for HCV infection was formulated.
- Key parameters including fractional order and transmission rate were incorporated.
- Numerical solutions were obtained using the fractional Adams method.
Main Results:
- The fractional-order model demonstrated memory effects, offering insights into disease dynamics not present in classical models.
- Fractional-order derivatives provided a more comprehensive explanation of biological processes compared to classical orders.
- Numerical simulations validated the theoretical findings of the fractional-order HCV model.
Conclusions:
- The fractional-order HCV model enhances understanding of transmission dynamics and population spread.
- Findings provide insights for optimizing treatment dosages and control measures for HCV.
- The study contributes to improving public health, prolonging life, and increasing the quality of life for HCV patients.
Background And Objective:
Hepatitis virus infections are affecting millions of people worldwide, causing death, disability, and considerable expenditure. Chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV) can cause severe public health problems because of their high prevalence and poor long-term clinical outcomes. Thus a fractional-order epidemic model of the hepatitis C virus involving partial immunity under the influence of memory effect to know the transmission patterns and prevalence of HCV infection is studied. Investigating the transmission dynamics of HCV makes the issue more interesting. The HCV epidemic model and worldwide dynamics are examined in this study. Calculate the basic reproduction number for the HCV model using the next-generation matrix technique. We determine the model's global dynamics using reproduction numbers, the Lyapunov functional approach, and the Routh-Hurwitz criterion. The model's reproduction number shows how the disease progresses.
Methods:
A fractional differential equation model of HCV infection has been created. Maximum relevant parameters, such as fractional power, HCV transmission rate, reproduction number, etc., influencing the dynamic process, have been incorporated. The model's numerical solutions are obtained using the fractional Adams method. Finally, numerical simulations support the theoretical conclusions, showing the great agreement between the two.
Results:
In the fractional-order HCV infection model, the memory effect, which is not seen in the classical model, was shown on graphs so that disease dynamics and vector compartments could be seen. We found that the fractional-order HCV infection model has more stages of freedom than regular derivatives. Fractional-order derivations, which may be the best and most reliable, explained bodily approaches better than classical order.
Conclusion:
The current study modeled and analyzed a fractional-order HCV infection model. The current approach results in a much better understanding of HCV transmission in a population, which leads to important insights into its spread and control, such as better treatment dosage for different age groups, identifying the best control measure, improving health, prolonging life, reducing the risk of HCV transmission, and effectively increasing the quality of life of HCV patients. The creation of a fractional-order HCV infection model, which provides a better understanding of HCV transmission dynamics and leads to significant insights for better treatment dosages, identification of optimal control measures, and ultimately improvement of the quality of life for HCV patients, is the study's major outcome.
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