The antibiotic resistance crisis and the development of new antibiotics

The Global Burden of Disease report of 2019 estimated 14 million infection-related deaths, making it the second leading cause of death after ischaemic heart disease. Bacterial pathogens accounted for 7.7 million deaths and deaths attributable to bacterial antibiotic resistance amounted to 1.3 million, describing a clear demand for novel antibiotics. Antibiotic development had its golden age in 1930-1960. Following failures in the screening of chemical libraries for novel antibiotics at the beginning of this century, the high cost of launching new antibiotics (estimated at US$ 1.4 billion per registered drug) and difficulties in achieving a return of investment for novel antibiotics, pharmaceutical industry has mostly left the field. The current Lilliput review analyses the question whether scientific or economic hurdles prevented the registration of new antibiotics. Scientifically, substantial progress has been achieved over recent years to define the chemical properties needed to overcome the permeation barrier in Gram-negative pathogens; in extending the chemical space of antibiotic candidates by full modular synthesis of suitable molecules; by extending bioprospecting to previously 'unculturable' bacteria or unusual bacteria; by attacking bacterial targets on the outer bacterial membrane; and by looking for support from structural biology, genomics, molecular genetics, phylogenetic analyses and deep machine learning approaches. However, these research activities were mostly conducted by academic researchers and biotech companies with limited financial resources. It thus seems that the development of new antibiotics, frequently described as the drying of the pipeline, is less limited by lack of scientific insight than by lack of the mobilization of the monetary resources needed to bring these discoveries to the market despite recent financial push and pull efforts of the public sector.