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Severity predictors for multisystemic inflammatory syndrome in children after SARS-CoV-2 infection in Vietnam
Dien M Tran1,2, Dem V Pham2, Tung V Cao3
1Surgical Intensive Care Unit, Vietnam National Children's Hospital, Hanoi, Vietnam.
Insights
Identifying predictors for severe Multisystemic Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) is crucial. Lower lymphocyte counts, albumin, and reduced LVEF predict severe MIS-C, aiding early intervention and improved outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric critical care medicine
- Infectious diseases
- Rheumatology
Background:
- Multisystemic Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) presents with varied severity, from mild symptoms to life-threatening multi-organ dysfunction.
- Prognostic factors for severe MIS-C outcomes remain incompletely understood, necessitating research into predictive markers.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify independent predictors of severe outcomes in children diagnosed with MIS-C.
- To enhance clinical management strategies by pinpointing high-risk patients early.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective study analyzed data from 391 children with MIS-C admitted to Vietnam National Children's Hospital between January 2022 and June 2023.
- Multivariate regression models were employed to determine independent predictors for Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) admission and shock development.
Main Results:
- Independent predictors for PICU admission included CRP < 50 mg/L, albumin < 30 g/L, absolute lymphocyte count < 2 × 10^9/L, ferritin ≥ 300 ng/mL, and LVEF < 60%.
- Shock was associated with decreased absolute lymphocyte count (< 2 × 10^9/L), low albumin (< 30 g/L), and reduced LVEF (< 60%).
Conclusions:
- Absolute lymphocyte count, serum albumin, C-reactive protein (CRP), and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) are significant independent predictors of MIS-C severity.
- These findings can guide clinical decision-making for early identification and management of high-risk MIS-C patients to improve prognoses.
Abstract:
Multisystemic inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) might manifest in a broad spectrum of clinical scenarios, ranging from mild features to multi-organ dysfunction and mortality. However, this novel entity has a heterogenicity of data regarding prognostic factors associated with severe outcomes. The present study aimed to identify independent predictors for severity by using multivariate regression models. A total of 391 patients (255 boys and 136 girls) were admitted to Vietnam National Children's Hospital from January 2022 to June 2023. The median age was 85 (range: 2-188) months, and only 12 (3.1%) patients had comorbidities. 161 (41.2%) patients required PICU admission, and the median PICU LOS was 4 (2-7) days. We observed independent factors related to PICU admission, including CRP 50 (mg/L) (OR 2.52, 95% CI 1.39-4.56, p = 0.002), albumin 30 (g/L) (OR 3.18, 95% CI 1.63-6.02, p = 0.001), absolute lymphocyte count 2 (× 109/L) (OR 2.18, 95% CI 1.29-3.71, p = 0.004), ferritin ≥ 300 (ng/mL) (OR 2.35, 95% CI 1.38-4.01), p = 0.002), and LVEF < 60 (%) (OR 2.48, 95% CI 1.28-4.78, p = 0.007). Shock developed in 140 (35.8%) patients, especially for those decreased absolute lymphocyte 2 (× 109/L) (OR 2.48, 95% CI 1.10-5.61, p = 0.029), albumin 30 (g/L) (OR 2.53, 95% CI 1.22-5.24, p = 0.013), or LVEF < 60 (%) (OR 2.24, 95% CI 1.12-4.51, p = 0.022). In conclusion, our study emphasized that absolute lymphocyte count, serum albumin, CRP, and LVEF were independent predictors for MIS-C severity. Further well-designed investigations are required to validate their efficacy in predicting MIS-C severe cases, especially compared to other parameters. As MIS-C is a new entity and severe courses may progress aggressively, identifying high-risk patients optimizes clinicians' follow-up and management to improve disease outcomes.
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