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Maternal smoking during pregnancy and offspring risk of intellectual disability: a UK-based cohort study
Paul Madley-Dowd1,2,3, Richard Thomas4, Andy Boyd4
1Centre for Academic Mental Health, Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.
Insights
Maternal smoking during pregnancy is not causally linked to intellectual disability (ID) in offspring. A large UK study found no evidence of a causal effect, suggesting other factors may be involved.
Area of Science:
- Reproductive Health
- Developmental Neuroscience
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Observational studies suggest maternal smoking during pregnancy is associated with offspring intellectual disability (ID).
- The causal nature of this association remains uncertain, with potential for unmeasured confounding.
- Clarifying this relationship is crucial for public health guidance and interventions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the causal relationship between maternal smoking during pregnancy and offspring intellectual disability (ID).
- To differentiate between a true causal effect and confounding factors in the observed association.
- To provide evidence-based conclusions for prenatal care recommendations.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a UK-based prospective birth cohort (Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children) with 13,479 children.
- Assessed maternal smoking at 18 weeks' gestation and offspring ID using linked health and education records.
- Employed confounder-adjusted logistic regression and a negative control analysis comparing maternal and partner smoking.
Main Results:
- Observational analysis showed no significant association between maternal smoking and offspring ID (OR 0.75-0.97).
- Negative control analysis comparing maternal and partner smoking yielded comparable, non-significant effect estimates (OR 0.94).
- Results indicate that biases affecting both exposures likely explain observed associations.
Conclusions:
- The findings do not support a causal effect of maternal smoking during pregnancy on offspring intellectual disability.
- The observed associations are likely attributable to confounding factors or biases common to both maternal and partner smoking.
- This study underscores the importance of rigorous methodology in establishing causality in observational research.
Background:
Observational studies have described associations of maternal smoking during pregnancy with intellectual disability (ID) in the exposed offspring. Whether these results reflect a causal effect or unmeasured confounding is still unclear.
Methods:
Using a UK-based prospectively collected birth cohort (the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children) of 13,479 children born between 1991 and 1992, we assessed the relationship between maternal smoking at 18 weeks' gestation and offspring risk of ID, ascertained through multiple sources of linked information including primary care diagnoses and education records. Using confounder-adjusted logistic regression, we performed observational analyses and a negative control analysis that compared maternal with partner smoking in pregnancy under the assumption that if a causal effect were to exist, maternal effect estimates would be of greater magnitude than estimates for partner smoking if the two exposures suffer from comparable biases.
Results:
In observational analysis, we found an adjusted odds ratio for ID of 0.75 (95% CI = 0.49-1.13) for any maternal smoking and 0.97 (95% CI = 0.71-1.33) per 10-cigarette increase in number of cigarettes smoked per day. In negative control analysis, comparable effect estimates were found for any partner smoking (OR = 0.94; 95% CI = 0.63-1.40) and number of cigarettes smoked per day (OR = 0.94; 95% CI = 0.74-1.20).
Conclusions:
The results are not consistent with a causal effect of maternal smoking during pregnancy on offspring ID.
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