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Characterizing drought prediction with deep learning: A literature review.

Aldo Márquez-Grajales1, Ramiro Villegas-Vega2, Fernando Salas-Martínez3

  • 1INFOTEC Center for Research and Innovation in Information and Communication Technologies, Circuito Tecnopolo Sur, No 112, Fracc. Tecnopolo Pocitos, Aguascalientes, 20326, Aguascalientes, México.

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Summary

Deep learning enhances drought prediction using climate and vegetation indices like SPI, SPEI, and NDVI. Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM) are most common, but research is lacking in America and Africa.

Keywords:
Characterizing drought prediction with deep learning: A literature reviewDeep learningDroughtPredictionRemote sensing and climate index

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Computer Science
  • Climate Science

Background:

  • Drought prediction is vital for mitigating environmental and human impacts.
  • Deep learning offers advanced capabilities for complex prediction tasks.
  • Understanding current methodologies is key to advancing drought forecasting.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To review and characterize state-of-the-art deep learning techniques for drought prediction.
  • To identify commonly used climate and vegetation indices in drought forecasting.
  • To map the global distribution of research on deep learning for drought prediction.

Main Methods:

  • Systematic literature review of deep learning applications in drought prediction.
  • Analysis of frequently used climate indices: Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI).
  • Identification of prevalent multispectral indices, notably the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI).
  • Examination of deep learning algorithms, with a focus on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks and hybrid approaches.

Main Results:

  • SPI and SPEI are the most frequently employed climate indices.
  • NDVI is the most utilized multispectral index for drought prediction.
  • Asia and Oceania lead in research output, while America and Africa show limited publications.
  • LSTM networks, both standalone and in hybrid models, are the dominant deep learning methods.

Conclusions:

  • A significant research gap exists in applying deep learning and multispectral indices for drought prediction in America and Africa.
  • Developing countries present an opportunity for advancing drought prediction research.
  • Further investigation is needed to enhance drought forecasting capabilities in underrepresented regions.